THE CRUNCH

US AI data centres are projected to consume 15 billion cubic feet of natural gas daily by 2035, a 117% increase from previous forecasts. This surge is driven by the industry's struggle to secure power infrastructure, leading many developers to rely on onsite gas turbine generators. The increased consumption would rank US data centres as the world's fifth-largest natural gas consumer, according to Bloomberg data cited

The massive increase in gas demand is a direct result of the power crunch facing the AI sector. As power plants take longer to come online, developers have turned to portable gas turbines, a trend popularised by Elon Musk's Memphis Supercluster. However, this reliance on gas is raising environmental concerns, with lawsuits alleging significant increases in local pollution from facilities like SpaceXAI's Colossus 2. Experts suggest that while domestic gas output is expected to rise by 35 billion cubic feet per day over the next decade, it will still fall short of the projected demand by around 11 billion cubic feet, potentially driving up prices for consumers.

Tech giants are actively seeking alternative power solutions, such as small modular reactors and nuclear microreactors, to meet their insatiable energy needs. However, these advanced technologies are not expected to be commercially viable for several years. Consequently, natural gas is likely to remain a critical supplement to solar power for the foreseeable future, as noted by Musk. The tension between rapid AI infrastructure growth and environmental protection continues to be a significant challenge for the industry.

WHAT HAPPENS NEXT

Domestic gas producers are projected to raise output by 35 billion cubic feet per day over the next decade, but this still falls short of the forecasted demand by around 11 billion cubic feet per day, potentially leading to price increases.